In Excess

When does extraordinary excess become visible? In hindsight. Consider the stock market at the start of 2000. Despite ridiculous valuations, scores of profitless IPOs, and an absence of common sense, few seemed to recognize the risks ahead of time. The S&P 500...

Which is Better for Inflation… Stocks or Commodities?

Homes, stocks, junk bonds, you name it. Assets are ridiculously frothy everywhere you turn. The craziness is hardly confined to traditional Wall Street assets, however. Day-trading teenagers with social media cache are getting “rich” on digital NFT Nike...

The Less Profitable, The Better?

Somewhat surprisingly, 200 of the 1500 largest companies have proffered negative earnings over three consecutive years. Their stock prices must have suffered, right? Hardly. According to the Leuthold Group, investors have piled into unprofitable corporations more than...

The Harder They Fall

Over the last 40 years, the U.S. government has chosen to spend significantly more money than it takes in. It is the reason that the country must issue trillions of dollars of debt. Spending became particularly obscene during the financial crisis of 2008. And since...

Stimulus Checks and Stocks: Pumping Up a Hot Air Balloon

Investors may or may not be aware of their euphoric attitude toward risk taking. Yet Goldman Sachs data suggest that risk appetite is every bit as extreme today as it was before the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 and before the global financial collapse in 2008....