Wither the Money Supply?

In the world of stocks, investors may be taught about a variety of things that move the markets. The economy. Corporate profits. Geopolitical events. Technical price patterns. Greed. Fear. There’s some truth in the complexity. At times, however, Ockham’s...

A Pause Is Not A Pivot

In recent weeks, investors have pushed S&P 500 stocks 11% up off their lows. That is a pretty solid, albeit standard, bear market bounce. Some believe that the bounce will usher in the beginning of a brand new bull market. Is it possible? Sure. Is it likely? Not...

The Next Leg Down

A primary cause of skyrocketing product prices and service prices? Central banks electronically printed obscene amounts of dollars, making the value of those dollars worth less. The Federal Reserve has been trying to undo its policy error by terminating some of the...

Misreading the Inflation Goblin

The financial media want you to believe that inflation is already coming down. Or that it has peaked. Gasoline prices may be coming down. Used car prices may have peaked. Yet the idea that the inflation goblin has gone away is premature. The Personal Consumption...

Has the Market Already “Priced In” the Worst?

Scores of commentators have been trying to persuade the investing public that stocks are “on sale.” After all, the S&P 500 is roughly 23% lower than it was at the start of 2022. Might that imply that one can pick up a large company index fund at a...