Inflation, All You Ever Wanted

What if your family owed more than it owned? You could get by for a while. You could “rob Peter to pay Paul.” Eventually, though, persistent negative net worth would likely result in a declaration of bankruptcy. The same holds true for corporations. The...

Could a Game-Changing Vaccine Pop the Stock Bubble?

Federal Reserve intervention is the reason that stocks defied a protracted bear market in 2020. The central bank of the United States immediately intervened in March, slashing overnight borrowing rates to 0%. The Fed also printed trillions of dollars to buy bonds,...

What the Election Failed to Fix

Election outcomes tend to provide clarity. Even contested ones. For example, would one party in the U.S. control the executive branch as well as the legislative branch? At the moment, it would appear that this will not come to pass. One party is going to control the...

Election Euphoria

One might have anticipated that risk assets would trade sideways on the day of the election. After all, unusual levels of uncertainty tend to keep investors in a wait-n-see mode. However, stocks immediately rocketed more that 2% out of the morning gate. And that...

Stocks are Desperate for ‘More Cowbell’

What might the 2020 stock bubble be telling us? When mega-cap tech stars handily surpass earnings expectations, but still plummet? Perhaps there is some recognition of effervescent valuations. Warren Buffett’s indicator, market-cap-to-GDP, shows the disconnect...