Oil Prices and the Stock Market’s Reaction

Events that we have never witnessed before are coming to fruition in the current economic downturn. For instance, for the first time ever,  WTI crude oil futures traded at a negative price. Perma-bulls are already pointing out that the technical anomaly does not mean...

Who Will Win? Economic Gravity or the Fed-Reflated Bubble

Economic reality? We’ve already hit 18% unemployment. We’re likely to hit 20%-25%. Bubble reflation reality? The Nasdaq is now positive in 2020, as tech is apparently immune to extraordinary overvaluation. Economic reality? Small companies, which make up...

The Bear Will Not End Until The Fed Is Buying Stock ETFs

We already know that the economic deterioration will be far more severe than the Great Recession. That’s why the federal government has served up freakish amounts of stimulus. In a similar vein, the Federal Reserve intends to do whatever it takes to stimulate...

Revisionist Market History

In the last three weeks alone, nearly 17 million made it to the jobless claims tally. There are likely another eight million coming over the next two weeks. Net result? Unemployment is likely to hit 20%. Think about the adverse impact on consumption. People will need...

Retracement

Retracements represent short-term rallies against the primary trend. Yet once the retracement rally exhausts itself, it returns to the primary trend. (In this instance, we should see a return to the bear market downtrend.) The retracement rally to watch? 2811 on the...