The Ever-Changing Narrative

Despite hyper-valuation reminiscent of the 2000 stock bubble, prices continue to set record after puffed-up record. And they show little sign of slowing down or reverting to a longer-term average. What would happen if stock prices did regress to a mean? The S&P...

Easy Money Consequences

U.S. financial conditions are the easiest that they’ve ever been. At least according to an index created by Goldman Sachs. In essence, the index assesses things like credit spreads, borrowing costs, exchange rates and interest rates. The verdict? Financial...

Three Christmas Eve Charts

The late 1990s represented a period in history when investors began paying ridiculous premiums to own growth stocks. After the stock bubble burst in 2000, growth stocks in the Nasdaq 100 collectively crashed 80%. In 2020? The investment community is at it again. This...

Bubble Dynamics

You do not have to be a geneticist to understand why the stock market has flourished. The economy may have suffered millions upon millions of permanent job losses. However, when there are 50 additional cents in M1 money sloshing around the financial system since March...

Dow 30,000 and the Permanently High Plateau

One of the most famous social and economic influencers in the 1920s? Irving Fisher. Unfortunately for the celebrated economist, Fisher is best known for his biggest mistake. What many might say was the worst stock tip in history. In particular, Fisher excitedly...