Three Flies in the Stock Bubble Ointment

Quant funds, those that rely on algorithmic or systematically programmed investment approaches, account for roughly 25% of all all U.S. stock trades. Some estimates place that percentage closer to 50%. Either way, the quant fund impact is substantial. It follows that...

“Bottom Timers… Start Your Engines!”

I have never understood the purpose of year-end price targets for the stock market. Every bank issues them. And each year, they offer eternally optimistic views on how the 365-day period will play out. (There’s never a bear in the picnic basket!) The banks are not...

Bull and Bear Price Targeting

I have never quite understood the purpose of year-end price targets for the stock market. Every bank issues them. And each year, all of the banks offer eternally optimistic views on how the 365-day period will play out. (There’s never a bear in the picnic...

The 20-Year Stock Bear

U.S. investors tend to think in terms of what is happening stateside. Yet many of them have a fair amount of overseas exposure. Take the popular Vanguard Target Retirement Fund 2030 (VTHRX) with $40,000,000,000 under management. That’s $40 billion with a...

Trying To Call The Bottom

Popular media personalities wanted you to believe that this bear market would be “stick-saved” by the Q4-2018 bottom. Yet hope is not a bear market survival strategy. Even the idea that we’d see a miracle turnaround in 2020 the way that we did during...